Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.110128 0.127394 0.146459 0.169070 0.195159 0.224317 0.259390
2025-11-30 0.083262 0.106504 0.134808 0.171807 0.218916 0.276925 0.353854
2025-12-07 0.066439 0.091154 0.123374 0.168447 0.229907 0.310860 0.425757
2025-12-14 0.055465 0.080580 0.115195 0.166374 0.240175 0.342869 0.496921
2025-12-21 0.048532 0.074093 0.111062 0.168405 0.255198 0.381846 0.581154
2025-12-28 0.044555 0.071107 0.111198 0.176108 0.278698 0.434883 0.691422
2026-01-04 0.040610 0.067494 0.109714 0.180802 0.297687 0.482662 0.798598
2026-01-11 0.037163 0.064130 0.108053 0.184742 0.315536 0.530077 0.910011
2026-01-18 0.033785 0.060388 0.105225 0.186215 0.329160 0.571630 1.015812
2026-01-25 0.030252 0.055903 0.100549 0.183827 0.335643 0.601443 1.104180
2026-02-01 0.026674 0.050875 0.094308 0.177835 0.334857 0.618168 1.170545
2026-02-08 0.024828 0.048799 0.093091 0.180775 0.350500 0.665604 1.297951
2026-02-15 0.022826 0.046232 0.090756 0.181493 0.362326 0.707767 1.421251
2026-02-22 0.021288 0.044393 0.089606 0.184376 0.378672 0.760250 1.570718
2026-03-01 0.019218 0.041222 0.085469 0.180771 0.381572 0.786598 1.670392
2026-03-08 0.017528 0.038635 0.082207 0.178546 0.386955 0.818286 1.784272
2026-03-15 0.016431 0.037177 0.081108 0.180726 0.401774 0.870759 1.947742
2026-03-22 0.015954 0.037025 0.082747 0.188989 0.430593 0.955607 2.190782
2026-03-29 0.015239 0.036248 0.082935 0.194026 0.452755 1.028226 2.414336
2026-04-05 0.014516 0.035365 0.082784 0.198253 0.473492 1.099704 2.642943
2026-04-12 0.013663 0.034076 0.081562 0.199833 0.488207 1.158949 2.849231
2026-04-19 0.012613 0.032187 0.078740 0.197272 0.492751 1.195019 3.003794
2026-04-26 0.011427 0.029821 0.074527 0.190842 0.487154 1.206449 3.099099